Behind Low Vaccination Rates Lurks a More Profound Social Weakness
By Anita Sreedhar and Anand Gopal
Dr.
Sreedhar is a primary-care physician in the Bronx. Mr. Gopal is a
journalist and a professor at Arizona State University. The authors
research vaccine hesitancy and access around the world.
Robert
Steed knew the toll Covid-19 had taken on the South Bronx, where he’d
lived most of his life. There were the ambulances that would pull up to
the drab brick apartment buildings of St. Mary’s Park Houses, the public
housing complex where he’d grown up. There were longtime tenants who’d
succumbed to the disease. There were posters pasted near the elevators,
urging residents to get vaccinated. But he wouldn’t go near the vaccine.
“I’m
not going to listen to what the government says,” he told friends.
While he was down South working at a Waffle House, he tested positive
for the coronavirus. He decided he’d fight the disease himself; after
all, he was only 41, was rail thin and had no underlying conditions. But
when his girlfriend didn’t hear from him for a few days in October, his
friends said authorities forced their way into his apartment — and
discovered his body. The death shook his friends and former neighbors at
St. Mary’s Park Houses, but even as they mourned, many had made up
their minds: They would not get vaccinated.
About
70 percent of American adults are now fully immunized, but in pockets
around the country — from the rural South to predominately Black and
brown neighborhoods in large cities — vaccine hesitancy remains a
stubborn obstacle to defeating the pandemic. And it’s not just in the
United States: In 2019, the World Health Organization declared vaccine hesitancy
one of the 10 threats to global health. With persistent vaccine
avoidance and unequal access to vaccines, unvaccinated pockets could act
as reservoirs for the virus, allowing for the spread of new variants
like Omicron.
The world needs to
address the root causes of vaccine hesitancy. We can’t go on believing
that the issue can be solved simply by flooding skeptical communities
with public service announcements or hectoring people to “believe in
science.”
One
of us is a primary care physician with a degree in public health,
working in the Bronx, and the other is a sociologist assisting
international institutions to support polio and Covid vaccination in
underdeveloped countries (as well as a journalist covering conflict).
For the past five years, we’ve conducted surveys and focus groups abroad
and interviewed residents of the Bronx to better understand vaccine
avoidance. We’ve found that people who reject vaccines are not
necessarily less scientifically literate or less well-informed than
those who don’t. Instead, hesitancy reflects a transformation of our
core beliefs about what we owe one another.
Over
the past four decades, governments have slashed budgets and privatized
basic services. This has two important consequences for public health.
First, people are unlikely to trust institutions that do little for
them. And second, public health is no longer viewed as a collective
endeavor, based on the principle of social solidarity and mutual
obligation. People are conditioned to believe they’re on their own and
responsible only for themselves. That means an important source of
vaccine hesitancy is the erosion of the idea of a common good.
One
of the most striking examples of this transformation is in the United
States, where anti-vaccination attitudes have been growing for decades.
For Covid-19, commentators have chalked up vaccine distrust to
everything from online misinformation campaigns, to our tribal political
culture, to a fear of needles. Race has been highlighted in particular: In the early months of the vaccine rollout, white Americans were twice as likely
as Black Americans to get vaccinated. Dr. Anthony Fauci pointed to the
long shadow of racism on our country’s medical institutions, like the
notorious Tuskegee syphilis trials, while others emphasized the negative
experiences of African Americans and Latinos in the examination room.
These views are not wrong; compared with white Americans, communities of
color do experience the American health care system differently. But a
closer look at thedata reveals a more complicated picture.
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Since the spring,
when most American adults became eligible for Covid vaccines, the racial
gap in vaccination rates between Black and white people has been halved. In September, a national survey found that vaccination rates among Black and white Americans were almost identical. Other surveys have determined
that a much more significant factor was college attendance: Those
without a college degree were the most likely to go unvaccinated.
Education
is a reliable predictor of socioeconomic status, and other studies have
similarly found a link between income and vaccination. An analysis in June
of census tract data in Michigan showed, for example, that vaccination
rates in the heavily Black neighborhoods of Saginaw County were below 35
percent, and the rates in nearby poor white areas were not much
different. Voters who identify as Democrats are much more likely than voters who identify as Republicans to get vaccinated, but, according to the Michigan data, this gap also disappears when accounting for income and education. It turns out that the real vaccination divide is class.
This
is particularly visible at the St. Mary’s Park Houses, where Mr. Steed
grew up. Here, amid the peeling walls and broken front door, residents
say that New York City’s chronically underfunded housing authority has
left them to fend for themselves. When we visited recently to ask about
vaccines, the heating system was out despite the November chill. The
roof was in disrepair. Some residents had no choice but to occupy
unlivable units; gas line interruptions forced tenants to use hot
plates. Homeless people have taken shelter in the stairwells and hallways.
Dana
Elden, the tenant association president and a friend of Mr. Steed’s,
said she’s felt neglected by the city’s public housing authority. When
the pandemic hit, she said, residents were forced to dip into funds
meant for the property’s upkeep to purchase masks, gloves and hand
sanitizer. They’ve leaned
on local charities for Covid testing, and even for meals for hungry
tenants. “People are thinking, ‘If the government isn’t going to do
anything for us,’” said Elden, “‘then why should we participate in
vaccines?’”
Americans began thinking
about health care decisions this way only recently; during the 1950s
polio campaigns, for example, most people saw vaccination as a civic
duty. But as the public purse shrunk in the 1980s, politicians insisted
that it’s no longer the government’s job to ensure people’s well-being;
instead, Americans were to be responsible only for themselves and their
own bodies. Entire industries, such as self-help and health foods, have
sprung up on the principle that the key to good health lies in
individuals making the right choices.
Amanda
Santiago, a St. Mary’s Park tenant, told us, “I’m not necessarily
anti-vaccine.” But she decided against the shot, she explained, as “a
personal choice.” A growing body of researchsuggests
that Ms. Santiago’s views reflect a broader shift in America, across
class and race. Without an idea of the common good, health is often
discussed using the language of “choice.” At a recent
anti-vaccine-mandate demonstration in Brooklyn, some protesters wore
Black Lives Matter T-shirts and chanted, “My body, my choice!” When the
Brooklyn Nets banned their star guard Kyrie Irving for refusing the
vaccine, the Nets’ general manager, Sean Marks, acknowledged, “Kyrie has
made a personal choice, and we respect his individual right to choose.”
Of
course, there’s a lot of good that comes from viewing health care
decisions as personal choices: No one wants to be subjected to
procedures against their wishes. But there are problems with reducing
public health to a matter of choice. It gives the impression that
individuals are wholly responsible for their own health. This is despite
growing evidence that health is deeply influenced by factors outside our control;
public health experts now talk about the “social determinants of
health,” the idea that personal health is never simply just a reflection
of individual lifestyle choices, but also the class people are born
into, the neighborhood they grew up in and the race they belong to.
Poverty
and environmental conditions are closely linked to chronic illnesses
such as diabetes and heart disease. The South Bronx has one of the highest death rates from asthma in the country, in part because of dilapidated public housing;
it is also one of the least food secure regions in America. But food
deserts and squalor are not easy problems to solve — certainly not by
individuals or charities — and they require substantial government
action. Without such reforms, primary care physicians can approach their
patients only through the lens of personal responsibility. Many medical
schools teach “motivational interviewing,” so that physicians can coach
patients to make better lifestyle choices. This can be helpful, but it
fails to address the deeper problem: Being healthy is not cheap. Studies
indicate that energy-dense foods with less nutritious value are more
affordable, and low-cost diets are linked to obesity and insulin
resistance.
Another problem with
reducing well-being to personal choice is that this treats health as a
commodity. This isn’t surprising, since we shop for doctors and
insurance plans the way we do all other goods and services.
Recent research has shed light on this problem. Jennifer Reich, a sociologist at the University of Colorado, Denver, has spent years studying
families who refuse to vaccinate their children against diseases like
measles. She found that mothers devoted many hours to “researching”
vaccines, soaking up parental advice books and quizzing doctors. In
other words, they act like savvy consumers. The mothers in Reich’s study
maintain that each child is unique, and that they know their child’s
needs better than anyone. As a result, they insist that they alone have
the expertise to decide what medicines to give their children. When
thinking as a consumer, people tend to downplay social obligations in
favor of a narrow pursuit of self-interest. As one parent told Reich,
“I’m not going to put my child at risk to save another child.”
Such
risk-benefit assessments for vaccines are an essential part of parents’
consumer research. For illnesses like measles, outbreaks — until
recently — have been so rare that it’s not hard to be convinced that the
harm of vaccines outweighs that of the disease. However, we’ve found in
our research that for Covid-19, this risk analysis can get turned on
its head: Vaccine uptake is so high among wealthy people because Covid
is one of the gravest threats they face. In some wealthy Manhattan
neighborhoods, for example, vaccination rates run north of 90 percent.
For
poorer and working-class people, though, the calculus is different:
Covid-19 is only one of multiple grave threats. In the South Bronx, one
man who works two jobs shared that he navigates around drug dealers,
hostile police and shootings. “I don’t want my kids to see what I’ve
seen,” he said. Another man said he lost his job during the pandemic and
slipped back into addiction. “Most of my friends are dead or in jail,”
he said. Neither one plans to get vaccinated. Their hesitancy is not
irrational: When viewed in the context of the other threats they face,
Covid no longer seems uniquely scary.
Most
of the people we interviewed in the Bronx say they are skeptical of the
institutions that claim to serve the poor but in fact have abandoned
them. “When you’re in a high tax bracket, the government protects you,”
said one man who drives an Amazon truck for a living. “So why wouldn’t
you trust a government that protects you?” On the other hand, he and his
friends find reason to view the government’s sudden interest in their
well-being with suspicion. “They are over here shoving money at us,” a
woman told us, referring to a New York City offer to pay a $500 bonus to
municipal workers to get vaccinated. “And I’m asking, why are you so
eager, when you don’t give us money for anything else?” These views
reinforce the work of social scientists who find a link between a lack of trust and inequality. And without trust, there is no mutual obligation, no sense of a common good.
As
the emergence of the Omicron variant shows, vaccine mandates in the
United States are not enough to solve this problem. Hesitancy is a
global phenomenon. While the reasons vary by country, the underlying
causes are the same: a deep mistrust in local and international
institutions, in a context in which governments worldwide have cut
social services.
Research shows
that private systems not only tend to produce worse health outcomes
than public ones, but privatization creates what public health experts
call “segregated care,” which can undermine the feelings of social
solidarity that are critical for successful vaccination drives. In one
Syrian city, for example, the health care system now consists of one
public hospital so underfunded that it is notorious for poor care, a few
private hospitals offering high-quality care that are unaffordable to
most of the population, and many unlicensed and unregulated private
clinics — some even without medical doctors — known to offer misguided
health advice. Under such conditions, conspiracy theories can flourish;
many of the city’s residents believe Covid vaccines are a foreign plot.
In
many developing nations, international aid organizations are stepping
in to offer vaccines. These institutions are sometimes more equitable
than governments, but they are often oriented to donor priorities, not
community needs. In Afghanistan, villagers lack access to most basic
health services; some must travel hours to reach a clinic. Cases of
childhood malnutrition are widespread and growing. Even though the
country has only a few dozen cases of polio yearly, institutions like
the W.H.O. spend considerable sums promoting and carrying out polio
vaccinations. People in Kandahar speak about polio in ways that are
strikingly similar to how residents in the Bronx speak about Covid. “We
have starvation and women die in childbirth.” one tribal elder told us,
“Why do they care so much about polio? What do they really want?”
Researchers find these sentiments
echoed in poor and marginalized communities around the world. Despite
the scale of the problem, experts are divided on which interventions
might work best. Here, too, the experience of the United States might
prove instructive. In America, anti-vaccine movements are as old as
vaccines themselves; efforts to immunize people against smallpox
prompted bitter opposition in the turn of the last century. But after
World War II, these attitudes disappeared. In the 1950s, demand for the
polio vaccine often outstripped supply, and by the late 1970s, nearly
every state had laws mandating vaccinations for school with hardly any
public opposition.
What changed? This
was the era of large, ambitious government programs like Medicare and
Medicaid. In the mid-’60s, the number of government-funded social
programs targeting the poor and communities of color skyrocketed. The
anti-measles policy, for example, was an outgrowth
of President Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society and War on Poverty
initiatives. Government workers from initiatives like Head Start
assisted in vaccination campaigns. In some cities, the government
sponsored the creation of health councils, made up of community members,
which served as intermediaries between health centers and the public.
These councils embodied the idea that public health is effective only when community members share in decision making.
The
experience of the 1960s suggests that when people feel supported
through social programs, they’re more likely to trust institutions and
believe they have a stake in society’s health. Only then do the ideas of
social solidarity and mutual obligation begin to make sense.
The
types of social programs that best promote this way of thinking are
universal ones, like Social Security and universal health care.
Universal programs inculcate a sense of a common good because everyone
is eligible simply by virtue of belonging to a political community. In
the international context, when marginalized communities benefit from
universal government programs that bring basic services like clean
drinking water and primary health care, they are more likely to trust
efforts in emergency situations — like when they’re asked to get
vaccinated.
If the world is going to
beat the pandemic, countries need policies that promote a basic, but
increasingly forgotten, idea: that our individual flourishing is bound
up in collective well-being.
Anita
Sreedhar is a resident specializing in primary care and social medicine
residency at Montefiore Medical Center. She has reported from
Afghanistan, India and elsewhere. Anand Gopal, a sociologist, is a
professor at Arizona State University and a fellow at Type Media. They
are co-founders of the Zomia Center, which assists with public health
initiatives in conflict zones.
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